Here's proof that banks in Asia Pac are resilient amidst global financial crisis

But borrowers' leverage has increased.

According to Moody's, banks in Asia Pacific have been resilient in the wake of the global financial crisis and enjoy some of the highest ratings of banks globally. The rating agency notes that Asian banking systems have been operating in a favorable operating environment for an extended period, with low interest rates, robust economic growth and strong loan growth.

"However, during that period, borrowers' leverage has increased, asset prices have materially appreciated and, in the process, both borrowers and banks may have become more susceptible to asset quality deterioration, especially if the interest rate cycle turns" says Stephen Long, Managing Director for Moody's Financial Institutions Group in Asia Pacific.

Here's more from Moody's:

Moody's says that while it is difficult to exactly predict turning points in banking credit cycles, the increased likelihood of tightening of US monetary policy - with a higher probability of a tapering of quantitative easing during our outlook period - is a potential trigger.

"In this context, Moody's notes that the exit from loose monetary policies in the developed economies will test Asian banks' asset quality during the next 2-3 years," says Long.

There are also other factors more directly emanating from the Asia Pacific region that will influence the extent to which credit conditions could be pressured. Key among them are whether Abenomics in Japan will work as intended, China's economic rebalancing as well as Asian regulators' stance with regards to bank resolution regimes.

"We are further mindful that Abenomics will have an important impact on Japanese and Asian banks, but outcomes at this stage are uncertain. At the same time, we recognize that Japan's loose monetary policy compounds the effects, at a late stage of the credit cycle, of quantitative easings by the US and Europe," says Long.

"Moreover, exchange rate volatility - a side-effect of Abenomics - creates some asset quality challenges for banks in the region, while the behavior of Japanese banks internationally is another key consideration," says Long.

Join Singapore Business Review community
Join Singapore Business Review community
A NOTE FROM SINGAPORE BUSINESS REVIEW

The people you want to reach are already in this room.

Every quarter, SBR lands on the desks of the founders, CFOs, and directors running Asia's most consequential companies. Every day, they open our newsletter and read our website. It's a room that took twenty years to build — and it's the one most of our partners are trying to get into.

The good news is that the door is open. We work with companies on thought leadership articles, sponsored content, industry summits across Southeast Asia, regional awards programmes, podcasts, and media placements in print and digital. The shape of the right partnership depends on what you're trying to do, which is why we'd rather start with a conversation than send a rate card.

If you have something this room should know about, tell us. We'll tell you honestly whether we can help, and how.

No rate cards until we understand the brief. It's a better use of everyone's time.

Top News

SBR 5 Lorem Ipsum News 2 [8 May]
Lorem Ipsum is simply dummy text of the printing and typesetting industry. Lorem Ipsum has been the industry's standard dummy text ever since the 1500s, when an unknown printer took a galley of type and scrambled it to make a type specimen book. It has survived not only five centuries, but also the leap into electronic typesetting, remaining essentially unchanged. It was popularised in the 1960s with the release of Letraset sheets containing Lorem Ipsum passages, and more recently with desktop publishing software like Aldus PageMaker including versions of Lorem Ipsum.
SBR 4 Lorem Ipsum [8 May Top Stories]
Lorem Ipsum is simply dummy text of the printing and typesetting industry. Lorem Ipsum has been the industry's standard dummy text ever since the 1500s, when an unknown printer took a galley of type and scrambled it to make a type specimen book. It has survived not only five centuries, but also the leap into electronic typesetting, remaining essentially unchanged. It was popularised in the 1960s with the release of Letraset sheets containing Lorem Ipsum passages, and more recently with desktop publishing software like Aldus PageMaker including versions of Lorem Ipsum.
Vibrant Group wins suit against Blackgold Australia
The group shall be paid damages and fees by Blackgold Australia’s ex-CEO and ex-chairman.
Lorem Ipsum text in year 2025
Contrary to popular belief, Lorem Ipsum is not simply random text. It has roots in a piece of classical Latin literature from 45 BC, making it over 2000 years old.

Exclusives

Exclusive three SBR 12 Lorem Ipsum [8 May]
Lorem Ipsum is simply dummy text of the printing and typesetting industry. Lorem Ipsum has been the industry's standard dummy text ever since the 1500s, when an unknown printer took a galley of type and scrambled it to make a type specimen book. It has survived not only five centuries, but also the leap into electronic typesetting, remaining essentially unchanged. It was popularised in the 1960s with the release of Letraset sheets containing Lorem Ipsum passages, and more recently with desktop publishing software like Aldus PageMaker including versions of Lorem Ipsum.
SBR 3 Lorem Ipsum [ Exclusive 2]
Lorem Ipsum is simply dummy text of the printing and typesetting industry. Lorem Ipsum has been the industry's standard dummy text ever since the 1500s, when an unknown printer took a galley of type and scrambled it to make a type specimen book. It has survived not only five centuries, but also the leap into electronic typesetting, remaining essentially unchanged. It was popularised in the 1960s with the release of Letraset sheets containing Lorem Ipsum passages, and more recently with desktop publishing software like Aldus PageMaker including versions of Lorem Ipsum.
SBR 2 Lorem Ipsum [8 May]
Lorem Ipsum is simply dummy text of the printing and typesetting industry. Lorem Ipsum has been the industry's standard dummy text ever since the 1500s, when an unknown printer took a galley of type and scrambled it to make a type specimen book. It has survived not only five centuries, but also the leap into electronic typesetting, remaining essentially unchanged. It was popularised in the 1960s with the release of Letraset sheets containing Lorem Ipsum passages, and more recently with desktop publishing software like Aldus PageMaker including versions of Lorem Ipsum.

Event News

Video [Event News]
Lorem Ipsum has been the industry's standard dummy text ever since the 1500s, when an unknown printer took a galley