Here's how alarming Singapore's debt-build up is

Loan growth climbed to 19.2%.

According to Nomura, Singapore's nominal GDP growth fell to 1.3% y-o-y in Q1 2013, yet loan growth picked up to a sizzling 19.2% (it eased to 18.8% in Q2; nominal GDP data for Q2 are not yet available). So loans growth outpaced nominal GDP by 18.0 percentage points in Q1, and likely by a similar margin in Q2.

Nomura noted that Singapore‟s credit-GDP growth gap is the largest in Asia.

"The upshot is that Singapore's domestic private credit-to-GDP ratio has risen sharply, from 101% in Q4 2008 to 149% in Q1 2013. It is not only the level,
but the speed of the debt build-up that is a concern.

Unless the debt build-up is brought under control, Singapore will be very exposed when the US Fed eventually does raise rates," says Nomura.

Here's more:

Since quarterly data began in 1981, loans growth has outpaced nominal GDP by more than 18pp on eight occasions: Q2, Q3 and Q4 in 2008, Q2, Q3 and Q4 2012, Q1 2012 and Q1 2013.

All are since the global financial crisis. One reason for this is that Singapore's main monetary policy target is the
exchange rate, and so its short-term interest rates closely mimic the near-rock bottom rates in the US.

Join Singapore Business Review community
Join Singapore Business Review community
A NOTE FROM SINGAPORE BUSINESS REVIEW

The people you want to reach are already in this room.

Every quarter, SBR lands on the desks of the founders, CFOs, and directors running Asia's most consequential companies. Every day, they open our newsletter and read our website. It's a room that took twenty years to build — and it's the one most of our partners are trying to get into.

The good news is that the door is open. We work with companies on thought leadership articles, sponsored content, industry summits across Southeast Asia, regional awards programmes, podcasts, and media placements in print and digital. The shape of the right partnership depends on what you're trying to do, which is why we'd rather start with a conversation than send a rate card.

If you have something this room should know about, tell us. We'll tell you honestly whether we can help, and how.

No rate cards until we understand the brief. It's a better use of everyone's time.

Top News

SBR 5 Lorem Ipsum News 2 [8 May]
Lorem Ipsum is simply dummy text of the printing and typesetting industry. Lorem Ipsum has been the industry's standard dummy text ever since the 1500s, when an unknown printer took a galley of type and scrambled it to make a type specimen book. It has survived not only five centuries, but also the leap into electronic typesetting, remaining essentially unchanged. It was popularised in the 1960s with the release of Letraset sheets containing Lorem Ipsum passages, and more recently with desktop publishing software like Aldus PageMaker including versions of Lorem Ipsum.
SBR 4 Lorem Ipsum [8 May Top Stories]
Lorem Ipsum is simply dummy text of the printing and typesetting industry. Lorem Ipsum has been the industry's standard dummy text ever since the 1500s, when an unknown printer took a galley of type and scrambled it to make a type specimen book. It has survived not only five centuries, but also the leap into electronic typesetting, remaining essentially unchanged. It was popularised in the 1960s with the release of Letraset sheets containing Lorem Ipsum passages, and more recently with desktop publishing software like Aldus PageMaker including versions of Lorem Ipsum.
Vibrant Group wins suit against Blackgold Australia
The group shall be paid damages and fees by Blackgold Australia’s ex-CEO and ex-chairman.
Lorem Ipsum text in year 2025
Contrary to popular belief, Lorem Ipsum is not simply random text. It has roots in a piece of classical Latin literature from 45 BC, making it over 2000 years old.

Exclusives

Exclusive three SBR 12 Lorem Ipsum [8 May]
Lorem Ipsum is simply dummy text of the printing and typesetting industry. Lorem Ipsum has been the industry's standard dummy text ever since the 1500s, when an unknown printer took a galley of type and scrambled it to make a type specimen book. It has survived not only five centuries, but also the leap into electronic typesetting, remaining essentially unchanged. It was popularised in the 1960s with the release of Letraset sheets containing Lorem Ipsum passages, and more recently with desktop publishing software like Aldus PageMaker including versions of Lorem Ipsum.
SBR 3 Lorem Ipsum [ Exclusive 2]
Lorem Ipsum is simply dummy text of the printing and typesetting industry. Lorem Ipsum has been the industry's standard dummy text ever since the 1500s, when an unknown printer took a galley of type and scrambled it to make a type specimen book. It has survived not only five centuries, but also the leap into electronic typesetting, remaining essentially unchanged. It was popularised in the 1960s with the release of Letraset sheets containing Lorem Ipsum passages, and more recently with desktop publishing software like Aldus PageMaker including versions of Lorem Ipsum.
SBR 2 Lorem Ipsum [8 May]
Lorem Ipsum is simply dummy text of the printing and typesetting industry. Lorem Ipsum has been the industry's standard dummy text ever since the 1500s, when an unknown printer took a galley of type and scrambled it to make a type specimen book. It has survived not only five centuries, but also the leap into electronic typesetting, remaining essentially unchanged. It was popularised in the 1960s with the release of Letraset sheets containing Lorem Ipsum passages, and more recently with desktop publishing software like Aldus PageMaker including versions of Lorem Ipsum.

Event News

Video [Event News]
Lorem Ipsum has been the industry's standard dummy text ever since the 1500s, when an unknown printer took a galley