How SIA Engineering will benefit from Changi's mega expansion

430,000 flights in 2018.

According to CIMB, SIE is expected to benefit from the increase in regional air travel, which will continue on the back of weak currencies. Passenger movements between Singapore and Bali-Denpasar, Sydney, Tokyo (among Changi’s top 10 cities) registered double-digit increases in Jul 2013, in line with the weakened currencies of these countries.

Flights handled in Changi can only go up. The number of flights handled in Changi rose by an encouraging 7% yoy to 934 flights per day in Jul 2013 after a tepid average monthly increase of 5% yoy since Jun 2012.

Here's more from CIMB:

The Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore (CAAS) estimates that Changi Airport will have the capacity to handle up to 430,000 flights p.a. (1,178 flights per day) in 2018, based on 5% p.a. flight volume growth.

This suggests that there is 26% upside from the existing base volume and that SIE’s line maintenance business can only go up.

We marginally increase our line maintenance sales growth estimates in FY15-16 to 6% from 4%.